The St. Louis Cardinals (32-34; 16-19 away) and Chicago Cubs (33-35; 18-13 home) renew their long-standing rivalry at Wrigley Field on Friday, June 14, 2024, in the first of a three-game series with significant implications for the tight NL wild-card race. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. EDT, with the game broadcast on MARQ.
Oddsmakers have this matchup as a virtual toss-up, with both teams listed at -108 on the moneyline and the total set at 8 runs. We ve made our Cardinals vs Cubs prediction, plus analyzed the betting odds and starting pitchers matchup.
Here is our St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs prediction for Friday, along with MLB odds, H2H history and matchup analysis.
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction
The Cardinals have had the upper hand in recent meetings, sweeping a two-game set at Busch Stadium less than a month ago and winning the last three head-to-head matchups. They ll turn to Kyle Gibson (probable) to continue that trend.
The veteran right-hander has struggled in June, allowing 13 hits, five walks, two homers, and six runs over his last two starts. However, he s been excellent on the road this season, posting a 3.19 ERA and limiting opponents to a .188 average.
good morning to everyone but ESPECIALLY Kyle Gibsonđđ¤
Cardinals Talk (@theredbird_way)
St. Louis offense has been underwhelming, ranking 24th in runs per game (3.92) and in the bottom third of the league in batting average, OBP, and slugging. However, there are encouraging signs, with Nolan Arenado (.400 AVG, .458 OBP last week), Dylan Carlson (4 RBIs last five games), and Brendan Donovan (.348 AVG last week) all hitting well recently.
The Cubs will counter with left-hander Jordan Wicks (probable), who has been inconsistent in his rookie season, sporting a 4.44 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. However, he s performed better at Wrigley Field, posting a 3.38 ERA in 10.2 innings. He ll need to be at his best against a Cardinals lineup that, despite its overall struggles, has been effective against left-handed pitching (.785 OPS vs LHP).
Jordan Wicks, Filthy 84mph Changeup. đˇ
Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja)
Chicago s offense has also struggled, ranking 17th in runs per game and 25th in batting average. However, they excel at drawing walks (4th highest BB%) and have seen strong recent performances from Seiya Suzuki (.368 AVG, 2 HR last week), Christopher Morel (.261 AVG, 2 HR last six games), and Cody Bellinger (.333 AVG last week).
Despite the even odds, I give a slight edge to the Cardinals. Gibson s road success and the Cubs questionable bullpen (bottom 10 in ERA, FIP, and WAR) could prove decisive. Additionally, the Cardinals recent dominance over the Cubs and the momentum that comes with it should play a role in this rivalry game.
Prediction: Cardinals ML (-108)
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Cardinals vs Cubs Odds
